AI Policy Wiki
Dashboard
⚲

WMDP

medium confidence · updated 2026-09-22

Measures how much hazardous biosecurity, cybersecurity and chemical-security knowledge a language model holds, using 3,668 proxy multiple-choice questions. Built by the Center for AI Safety with Scale AI and a consortium of academics and technical consultants, and released publicly in March 2024 as both a hazard measurement and a target for machine unlearning.

WMDP (Weapons of Mass Destruction Proxy) is a public dataset of 3,668 four-option multiple-choice questions written by subject-matter experts to serve as a proxy measurement of hazardous knowledge in biosecurity, cybersecurity and chemical security. It was assembled by the Center for AI Safety with Scale AI and a consortium of academic institutions and technical consultants, and released in March 2024 alongside a paper, "The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning," whose 56 authors are led by Nathaniel Li and Alexander Pan and include Dan Hendrycks and Kevin M. Esvelt The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024). The dataset is designed to do two jobs at once: to score how much hazardous knowledge a model carries, and to give unlearning research a public target to remove. By 2025 independent analyses described the biology subset as having plateaued below 100%, and its most visible production use is as one of two safety inputs to Microsoft's Azure Foundry model leaderboard.

What it measures

The authors state that WMDP measures hazardous knowledge rather than hazardous capability, and that the two do not coincide in either direction. Their stated reasoning: "models with a low score on WMDP likely lack the knowledge needed to help with malicious use. However, models with a high score on WMDP are not necessarily unsafe, as they may still lack the reasoning ability to combine the knowledge in the sequence of steps needed to create a weapon" The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

The construct is explicitly a proxy. Building a dataset of genuinely sensitive information would itself increase attacker capability, so the authors instead collected questions whose content is a "precursor, neighbor, or component" of the knowledge they wanted to measure and remove. A figure in the paper sorts knowledge into three bands — a red band of hazardous material the authors want removed, a yellow band of adjacent material, and a green band of general knowledge to preserve — and states that WMDP consists of the yellow band The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

The paper offers one empirical check on whether the proxy tracks the thing it stands for. During question development, 122 biosecurity questions were flagged as containing sensitive information and removed; the authors held these out as a private set and report that a model's accuracy on the private set, before and after unlearning, closely tracked its accuracy on the public WMDP-Bio, which they present as evidence that "WMDP is a reasonable proxy for especially hazardous knowledge" The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Design

Dataset construction

Questions were written by academics and technical consultants in biosecurity, cybersecurity and chemistry, working from threat models the authors constructed for each domain, and every question was checked by at least two experts from different organizations. The paper reports development costs of over $200,000 The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

The biosecurity threat model follows a design-build-test-learn chain for pathogen development. Its six question categories are dual-use virology (228 questions), bioweapons and bioterrorism (197), reverse genetics and easy editing (252), enhanced potential pandemic pathogens (233), viral vector research (228) and expanding access (135), for a WMDP-Bio total of 1,273. The cybersecurity threat model follows the four stages of an attack — reconnaissance, weaponization and vulnerability discovery, exploitation, post-exploitation — with 1,987 questions weighted heavily toward vulnerability discovery, which the authors argue is both the hardest stage for a human attacker and the one most likely to benefit from long-context, tool-augmented models. WMDP-Chem has 408 questions across general knowledge, synthesis, sourcing and procurement, purification, analysis and verification, deployment mechanisms, bypass mechanisms and miscellaneous The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Sensitive-information filtering

Three filters were applied before release. Domain experts flagged questions they judged sensitive under their own risk models, and flagged questions were excluded outright. For WMDP-Bio and WMDP-Chem, a cross-checking policy assigned two further domain experts per question to judge sensitivity. Finally, publication was assessed for compliance with US export-control requirements, including the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (22 CFR Parts 120–130) and the Export Administration Regulations (15 CFR Parts 730–774), with the support of external counsel The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

The authors also state that they deliberately weighted the dataset toward offensive knowledge, since unlearning defensive knowledge such as biosafety protocols would block benign uses, and that they excluded additional material on the release of pandemic pathogens.

Task format and scoring

Each item is a four-option multiple-choice question, so chance is 25%. The paper's evaluation uses a zero-shot question-answer format run through lm-evaluation-harness v0.4.2, taking the top logit among A, B, C and D as the answer; GPT-4 was evaluated manually with the same prompt template. A worked example given in the appendix asks which mutation in the poliovirus IRES often arises during cell-culture adaptation, with four candidate mutations as options The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024). The score is simply the percentage of questions answered correctly; the paper writes it with a downward arrow, since the object of the exercise is to reduce it.

Human baseline

The original paper performed no human baselining. An expert baseline for WMDP-Bio was added later by RAND: two researchers holding PhDs in microbiology and biochemistry scored 59.9% and 61.1% — a mean of 60.5% — on a randomly selected subset of roughly 20% of WMDP-Bio, taking between five and six hours (Source: arxiv.org). No comparable published baseline exists for WMDP-Cyber or WMDP-Chem.

Versions and variants

The dataset is published as three named subsets, WMDP-Bio, WMDP-Cyber and WMDP-Chem, which are usually reported separately; developers most often report WMDP-Bio alone. The Center for AI Safety's launch post of 5 March 2024 describes the benchmark as 4,157 questions and names the accompanying unlearning method CUT (Source: safe.ai), while the paper as revised through May 2024 gives 3,668 questions and names the method RMU The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024); the paper is the version carried by the project site (Source: wmdp.ai) and by the ICML 2024 proceedings (Source: proceedings.mlr.press). Alongside the main dataset the authors released forget and retain corpora — PubMed papers for biology, GitHub passages for cyber — for use in unlearning experiments, and an auxiliary set of MMLU-subset unlearning benchmarks.

Paired use with unlearning

WMDP was released together with RMU (Representation Misdirection for Unlearning), a fine-tuning method that perturbs model activations on hazardous data while preserving them on benign data. The paper reports RMU driving zephyr-7b from 63.7% to 31.2% on WMDP-Bio and from 44.0% to 28.2% on WMDP-Cyber while MMLU fell only from 58.1% to 57.1% and MT-Bench from 7.33 to 7.10. Unlearning experiments were run on WMDP-Bio and WMDP-Cyber only; the authors state they are "more uncertain if the hazard mitigation benefits of unlearning on WMDP-Chem outweigh the costs on general model capabilities" The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Two robustness results accompany it. Linear probes trained on the unlearned models recovered only slightly better than chance accuracy, and the GCG adversarial attack, which jailbroke the base Yi-34b in fewer than 50 gradient steps, produced only gibberish from the unlearned model after 2,500 steps — more than seven hours of optimization on an NVIDIA A100. The paper notes that RMU unlearns too much in closely adjacent areas: MMLU virology accuracy for zephyr-7b fell from 52.4% to 25.9% and computer security from 65.0% to 45.0% The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Development and maintainers

The paper lists 56 authors across a consortium the CAIS launch post describes as "over twenty academic institutions, technical consultants, and industry partners" (Source: safe.ai). Correspondence runs to CAIS, code and data are released on GitHub and Hugging Face under the centerforaisafety and cais namespaces, and the project site at wmdp.ai hosts the paper, repository and model collection (Source: wmdp.ai). There is no submission process or verified leaderboard: because the dataset is fully public, anyone can run it locally, and reported figures are whoever ran them.

Results

At publication the strongest model measured was GPT-4, at 82.2% on WMDP-Bio, 55.3% on WMDP-Cyber and 64.7% on WMDP-Chem, with the open-weight models then available clustered ten to twenty points lower The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024). Over the following year the biology subset moved very little: a systematic re-evaluation of 27 frontier models by Lennart Justen, run at ten independent runs per model-benchmark pair, found WMDP-Bio improving only 1.2-fold across the whole November 2022 to April 2025 window, with the leaders clustered in the low-to-mid eighties, and described the resulting 80–85% plateau as evidence of saturation rather than of stalling capability (Source: arxiv.org).

WMDP-Bio

Justen's figures are means over ten zero-shot runs in each model's default configuration, without tools; the original paper's figures use lm-evaluation-harness v0.4.2 zero-shot.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
Grok 4.690.0%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without production safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.4)2026-08-12Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Grok 4.590.9%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.2)2026-07-14Grok 4.5 Model Card (xAI, July 2026); Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Muse Spark88.4%accuracy, n=1,273 MCQ, helpful-only checkpoint (high refusal on final checkpoint), refusals and API errors filtered, LLM re-scorer for unparsed answers; developer-reported (card §Table 1 / Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
GPT-5.488.7%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 / Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Gemini 3.1 Pro90.1%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 / Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Kimi K2.586.8%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Llama 4 Maverick85.9%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Expert baseline (Dev et al., 2025)~60%"approximately 60% accuracy" on a subset of questions, as cited by Meta (card §§2.1.1.1)2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Grok 4.1 Thinking0.87%accuracy, text-only questions, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3, Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 40.87%accuracy; developer-reported in the Grok 4.1 card (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Human baseline0.61%human expert baseline as cited by xAI from prior work (Li et al. 2024) (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 4 Fast85.2%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), text-only, reasoning enabled, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-09-19Grok 4 Fast Model Card (xAI, September 2025)
Grok Code Fast 172.0%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), agentic harness with tools, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-26Grok Code Fast 1 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Grok 4 API0.87%accuracy, text-only questions, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-20Grok 4 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Grok 4 Web0.88%accuracy, text-only questions, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-20Grok 4 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet86.1%zero-shot, default configuration, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Llama 4 Maverick86.0%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
GPT-4.5 (pre-mitigation)83%subset of 1,520 biology questions from WMDP; multiple choice; developer-reported (card §4.3.6)2025-02-27OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
GPT-4.5 (post-mitigation)85%subset of 1,520 biology questions from WMDP; multiple choice; developer-reported (card §4.3.6)2025-02-27OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
OpenAI deep research (post-mitigation, with browsing)90%subset of 1,520 biology questions from WMDP; multiple choice; reported by OpenAI in the GPT-4.5 System Card (card §4.3.6)2025-02-27OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
o3-mini86%subset of 1,520 biology questions from WMDP; multiple choice; reported by OpenAI in the GPT-4.5 System Card (card §4.3.6)2025-02-27OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
o186%OpenAI-reported, on the 1,520-question subset used in the GPT-4.5 system card2025-02OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
GPT-4.585%post-mitigation, 1,520-question subset; developer-reported (83% pre-mitigation)2025-02OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)
Gemini 2.0 Pro85.0%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Llama 3.1 405B84.9%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
GPT-4o84.7%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
DeepSeek-V384.4%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet83.4%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
GPT-482.2%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Claude 3 Opus81.8%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Gemini 1.5 Pro79.8%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Yi-34b-Chat75.3%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Mixtral-8x7B-Instruct74.8%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Gemini 1.0 Pro70.7%zero-shot, no tools; mean of 10 runs, measured by Lennart Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
zephyr-7b-beta63.7%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper, before unlearning2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Human experts (2 RAND PhDs, ~20% subset)60.5%mean of 59.9% and 61.1%, 5–6 hours each; RAND baseline reported by Justen2025-05(Source: arxiv.org)
Mixtral-8x7B-Instruct + RMU34.0%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
zephyr-7b-beta + RMU31.2%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Yi-34b-Chat + RMU30.7%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)

WMDP-Cyber

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
Grok 4.583.2%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without production safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.4)2026-08-12Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Grok 4.690.1%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without production safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.4)2026-08-12Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Muse Spark89.8%MCQ accuracy, cybersecurity subset; developer-reported (card §§2.2.1 / Fig. 15)2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
GPT-5.490.1%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 (§1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Claude Opus 4.690.1%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 (§1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Gemini 3.1 Pro90.5%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 (§1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Grok 4.1 Thinking0.84%accuracy, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 40.79%accuracy; developer-reported in the Grok 4.1 card (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 4 Fast81.4%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), reasoning enabled, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-09-19Grok 4 Fast Model Card (xAI, September 2025)
Grok Code Fast 162.1%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), agentic harness with tools, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-26Grok Code Fast 1 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Grok 4 API0.79%accuracy, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-20Grok 4 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
GPT-455.3%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Mixtral-8x7B-Instruct52.0%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Yi-34b-Chat49.7%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
zephyr-7b-beta44.0%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper, before unlearning2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Mixtral-8x7B-Instruct + RMU30.8%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Yi-34b-Chat + RMU29.0%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
zephyr-7b-beta + RMU28.2%after RMU unlearning; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)

WMDP-Chem

No unlearning results were reported for this subset; the paper's authors state they restricted unlearning experiments to biology and cyber.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
Grok 4.685.3%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without production safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.4)2026-08-12Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Grok 4.587.3%high thinking effort; accuracy, multiple choice, without safeguards; developer-reported (card §8.2)2026-07-14Grok 4.5 Model Card (xAI, July 2026); Grok 4.6 Model Card (xAI, August 2026)
Gemini 3.1 Pro85.6%accuracy, n=408 MCQ; reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Table 1 / Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Kimi K2.582.0%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Llama 4 Maverick77.1%reported by Meta in the Muse Spark report (card §Fig. 2 (§2.1.1.1))2026-05-26Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (Meta, May 2026)
Grok 4.1 Thinking0.84%accuracy, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 40.83%accuracy; developer-reported in the Grok 4.1 card (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Human baseline0.43%human expert baseline as cited by xAI (Li et al. 2024) (card §Table 4)2025-11-17Grok 4.1 Model Card (xAI, November 2025)
Grok 4 Fast77.5%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), reasoning enabled, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-09-19Grok 4 Fast Model Card (xAI, September 2025)
Grok Code Fast 152.7%accuracy (percent scale, unit not printed), agentic harness with tools, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-26Grok Code Fast 1 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Grok 4 API0.83%accuracy, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-20Grok 4 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
Grok 4 Web0.85%accuracy, safeguards removed; developer-reported (card §2.3.2, Table 3)2025-08-20Grok 4 Model Card (xAI, August 2025)
GPT-464.7%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Yi-34b-Chat58.6%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
Mixtral-8x7B-Instruct55.2%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)
zephyr-7b-beta45.8%zero-shot, lm-evaluation-harness; original paper2024-03-05The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024)

WMDP sandbagging — Control accuracy

Results as printed in developer system cards, model cards and technical reports; each row's Setting records the developer's stated conditions and the document section.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol (card gives one pair of figures for both)84.8%accuracy in the control condition before the sandbagging prefix prompt; 400 questions, three samples per question; developer-reported (card §9.2.2.3.1)2026-09-03GPT-6 Astra System Card (OpenAI, September 2026)

WMDP sandbagging — Sandbagged accuracy

Results as printed in developer system cards, model cards and technical reports; each row's Setting records the developer's stated conditions and the document section.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol (card gives one pair of figures for both)68.9%accuracy when instructed to sandbag; 400 questions, three samples per question; developer-reported (card §9.2.2.3.1)2026-09-03GPT-6 Astra System Card (OpenAI, September 2026)

WMDP sandbagging — CoT-only monitor recall, evasion-aware condition

Results as printed in developer system cards, model cards and technical reports; each row's Setting records the developer's stated conditions and the document section.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource

WMDP (Bio) — Chem/bio preparedness

Results as printed in developer system cards, model cards and technical reports; each row's Setting records the developer's stated conditions and the document section.

ModelScoreSettingDateSource
Muse Glimmer-30B86.5%developer-reported (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Gemma4-31B85.9%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Qwen3.6-27B84.8%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Kimi K389.1%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Muse Glimmer-30B75.2%developer-reported (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Gemma4-31B80.5%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Qwen3.6-27B74.8%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)
Kimi K384.2%reported by Meta in the Muse Glimmer model card (card §Trust and Safety — Preparedness)2026-08-10Muse Glimmer Model Card (Meta, August 2026)

Interpreting scores

Chance on a four-option question is 25%, which is where RMU-unlearned models land and which sets the practical floor. There is no published ceiling: the paper does not report a rate of incorrect answer keys, and the observed plateau is well below 100%. Justen argues that the plateau is itself evidence of label problems, writing that "below-perfect saturation suggests these benchmarks contain questions with ambiguous or incorrect answer targets," and citing Gema et al.'s finding of errors in 57% of the questions in MMLU's virology subset as the closest comparable measurement (Source: arxiv.org).

The most important interpretive limit is the one the authors state themselves: a low score is informative and a high score is not. Epoch AI restates this asymmetry for biorisk evaluations generally — "if models perform poorly on these benchmarks, that's a good sign that they pose minimal marginal biorisk, but if they do well – it's highly ambiguous" (Source: epochai.substack.com).

Scores are only mildly sensitive to prompting. Justen compared zero-shot, five-shot and chain-of-thought prompting on four models and found chain-of-thought did not substantially improve performance over zero-shot; on WMDP-Bio, five-shot prompting moved Claude 3.5 Sonnet from 83.4% to 78.4% and Gemini 1.5 Pro from 79.8% to 64.2%, both downward (Source: arxiv.org). Because the dataset is fully public on Hugging Face, contamination of training corpora is possible and the benchmark carries no private holdout to detect it.

Limitations and criticism

The paper's own limitations section records three. Four-way multiple choice may miss hazards that surface only in end-to-end evaluations; memorized facts score the same as understood ones, and the authors note that memorization "may be particularly over-represented in our biological benchmark since many questions that were developed were drawn from open-access papers that were likely also included in the model's training data." WMDP is static and cannot anticipate new threats, so "benchmarking on only WMDP may yield a false sense of model safety after unlearning." And the threat model covers API-access models: for open-weight models, "unlearned information can be trivially re-introduced by malicious actors" The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Epoch AI, comparing the three benchmarks that dominate frontier biorisk reporting, ranked WMDP last on construct validity, writing that its questions "seem to be much less strongly focused on resembling real-world tasks, often (in our opinion) resembling knowledge science quiz questions," and attributing this to the dataset having been optimized for unlearning research rather than for practical laboratory knowledge. The same analysis judged WMDP to be largely saturated, in contrast to the Virology Capabilities Test (Source: epochai.substack.com).

The durability of the unlearning results has also been questioned. Deeb and Roger propose an adversarial evaluation in which an attacker is given some of the facts that were supposed to be removed and fine-tunes on them to recover the rest, and report that this recovers 88% of pre-unlearning accuracy against current unlearning methods for information learned during pretraining, which they present as evidence that these methods obscure information rather than remove it from the weights (Source: arxiv.org). Stephen Turner's 2026 review of AI biosecurity evaluation reaches a similar conclusion, stating that "post hoc unlearning can be partly reversed through limited fine-tuning, and more resistant training-time methods lack downstream validation" (Source: ssrn.com). The CAIS launch post acknowledged the general point in a footnote at release: "It's worth noting that through finetuning, it's possible to re-introduce this knowledge back into the model" (Source: safe.ai).

Use in policy and safety frameworks

The paper positions WMDP as a screening trigger rather than a threshold test, suggesting that "a model scoring above a particular threshold on WMDP could be flagged for more comprehensive evaluation, such as human red teaming with biosecurity experts," and naming the NIST AI Risk Management Framework as a framework it hopes to inform The WMDP Benchmark: Measuring and Reducing Malicious Use With Unlearning (Li, Pan et al., 2024).

Its most concrete deployment is commercial. In June 2025 Microsoft added a safety category to the Azure Foundry model leaderboard built on two third-party benchmarks — ToxiGen for implicit hate speech and WMDP for weapons misuse — described as the first time a major cloud provider ranked models by safety as a purchase-influencing metric (Microsoft AI Safety Leaderboard (June 2025)). Commentary at the time noted the incentive this creates for vendors to reduce WMDP scores rather than reduce misuse capability, a tension the same source records as two competing readings of the move.

WMDP appears in frontier system cards mainly through OpenAI, which reported WMDP Biology results on a 1,520-question subset in the GPT-4.5 system card alongside deep-research and o-series comparisons (OpenAI GPT-4.5 System Card (February 2025)). Epoch AI's survey of eight developers' model cards found WMDP subsections to be one of the three publicly described benchmarks that dominate biorisk reporting, alongside the Virology Capabilities Test and subsets of LAB-Bench (Source: epochai.substack.com). More recent Anthropic cards do not report WMDP, relying instead on virology-specific evaluations built with SecureBio (System Card: Claude Opus 4.8 (Anthropic, May 2026)).

The benchmark is also the standard target for academic unlearning work, which reports adversarial fine-tuning resistance against WMDP as the headline robustness measure.

Relationships

See also